Temporal Patterns of Meningitis in Hamadan, Western Iran: Addressing and Removing Explainable Patterns

نویسندگان
doi
10.5812/archcid.31532
چکیده

Background: Meningitis is one of the most disturbing infectious diseases due to mortality, morbidity and its ability to cause epidemic. Objectives: The current study aimed to detect and remove explainable patterns of fever and neurological symptoms as suspected meningitis occurred in Hamadan province, West of Iran. Results: The study findings indicated the presence of explainable patterns including day-of-the-week (DOW), weekend, holiday effects, seasonality and temporal trend in the syndromic data of fever and neurological symptoms. Overall, HW exponential and regression method had better performances to remove explainable patterns. Conclusions: Addressing and removing explainable patterns of syndromic data on meningitis is necessary to timely and accurately detection of meningitis epidemics. It was concluded that decomposition methods had better performance compared to the model based ones.

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