Forecasting is a key instrument of state regulation in the development of agricultural sector of the Republic of Kazakhstan
نویسندگان
1 Higher School of Business and Law, Department of Management and Organization of Agribusiness named after Kh.D. Churin, Kazakh National Agrarian Research University, 8 Abay Ave., Almaty, Kazakhstan
2 Higher School of Business and Law, Department of Management and Organization of Agribusiness named after Kh.D. Churin, Kazakh National Agrarian Research University, 8 Abay Ave., Almaty, Kazakhstan
3 Higher School of Business and Law, Department of Management and Organization of Agribusiness named after Kh.D. Churin, Kazakh National Agrarian Research University, 8 Abay Ave., Almaty, Kazakhstan
4 Higher School of Business and Law, Department of Management and Organization of Agribusiness named after Kh.D. Churin, Kazakh National Agrarian Research University, 8 Abay Ave., Almaty, Kazakhstan
5 Department of IT Technologies and Automation, Faculty of Water Resources and IT Technologies, Kazakh National Agrarian Research University 8 Abay Ave., Almaty, Kazakhstan
doi
10.22124/cjes.2026.9574چکیده
The purpose of the study is to develop a mathematical model for astrological forecasting of agricultural development, which can serve as a basis for the balanced development of related sectors within the country's agro-industrial complex and contribute to achieving the highest efficiency of its functioning. Forecasting enables the transformation of the agricultural sector from a source of risks into a driver of stable economic growth and a guarantor of national security. The forecasting methodology proposed in this research is based on the combined application of statistical evaluation methods aimed at obtaining an adequate trend-based astrological simulation model. Implementation of the proposed algorithm using the method of astrological forecasting produced reliable and effective results, particularly in modeling the economic development of agricultural production within Kazakhstan’s agro-industrial complex.
