Investigation of spread of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic in MOROCCO & estimated confinement duration to overcome the danger phase

نویسندگان
Bendaif, H. ID 1
Hammouti, B. ID 2
Bendaif, Y. ID 3
El Ouadi, Y. ID 4
Stiane, I. ID 5
El Ouadi, M.A. ID 6

1 Laboratory of Organic Chemistry, Macromolecular and Natural Products (LCOMPNURAC25), Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco

2 Laboratory of Applied Analytical Chemistry, Materials and Environment (LCA2ME), Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco

3 Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco

4 Laboratory of Applied Analytical Chemistry, Materials and Environment (LCA2ME), Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco

5 Department of Mathematics, Faculty of Sciences, University of Mohammed First, Oujda, Morocco

6 Engineer from the National School of Mines of Rabat-MOROCCO

doi
10.22124/cjes.2020.4070
چکیده

Purpose: The objective of this paper is to make an investigation of spread of novel coronavirus (COVID-19) in MOROCCO and to estimate the duration of confinement for the fight against coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID -19). Methods: Data available on the sites provided by the Moroccan Ministry of Health, nonlinear regression, Gaussian function, residual sum of squares and regression curve. Results: Moroccan citizens must stay at home as much as possible until June 12, 2020. Conclusion: Given the non-existence of a vaccine or an effective treatment against the coronavirus (COVID-19), our research team believes that confinement remains the best solution to limit the spread of this pandemic.

کلیدواژه‌ها
Pandemic, COVID-19, Investigation, Confinement