فهرست نشریات علمی دسترسی آزاد ایران

Background and Objectives: Increasing uncertainty and complexity in various aspects pose significant challenges for organizations in the recent business era. Companies are faced with a dynamic environment and rapid changes affect their planning and actions. Strategic foresight as a concept and process involves understanding the future, assessing possible future events, and applying future-oriented insights for decision-making. This paper aims to develop a strategic foresight model for the Iranian pharmaceutical manufacturing industry which is considered a strategic high-tech industry at the national level.   Methods: Expert views on shaping the prefered future of the industry in the next 15 years were analyzed using grounded theory methodology for strategic foresight modeling with an emphasis on the role of knowledge management using MAXQDA 2020 software.   Results: The international export-based view was identified as a key and main aspect of the paradigm model of strategic foresight for the Iranian pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Additionally, causal conditions including recent challenges and situations, contextual and intervening conditions, strategies and actions, and results were analyzed based on grounded theory for strategic foresight for the Iranian pharmaceutical manufacturing industry.   Conclusion: Transnational attitudes and views as well as export development were recognized as the main aspects of  in strategic foresight in the Iranian pharmaceutical manufacturing industry. Undesirable and inappropriate policies were identified as the most significant challenge in causal conditions. The most effective strategies for achieving the preferred future of the Iranian pharmaceutical manufacturing industry included the modification and revision of macro-policies and strategies as well as privatization.