Modeling the Economic Complexity of Iran and Other MENA Countries
نویسندگان
1 Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
2 Faculty of Economics, Aras International Campus of the University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
3 Faculty of Economics, University of Tehran, Tehran, Iran.
4 Faculty of Economics and Political Sciences, University of Shahid Beheshti, Tehran, Iran.
doi
10.22099/ijes.2025.53975.2055چکیده
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region has been reliant on advanced nations for economic growth and development, despite the fact that they possess rich and valuable resources that could serve as primary drivers. This is due to deficiencies in technology, infrastructure, and other capabilities, which have resulted in an ever-widening gap between the two. The emigration of a highly skilled workforce to developed countries, in conjunction with the sale of raw, inexpensive natural resources, has effectively rendered these nations informal dependencies on more advanced economies, thereby maintaining them at a minimal subsistence level. Economists have devised a novel metric, the Economic Complexity Index (ECI), to account for the development disparities between countries. A sound and principled comprehension of the ECI is essential for the enhancement of the resilience of national economies and the attainment of sustainable development in an era characterized by technology and innovation. This study employs the ECI to evaluate the status of MENA countries from 2007 to 2023 and to identify the most significant factors that influence it. The results suggest that the index is positively and significantly influenced by key variables such as human capital, high-technology products, governance quality, . Conversely, the trade balance and migration has a negative impact.